Padova vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
32.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
CRO
2 - 1
PAD
45%
27%
29%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
PAD
0 - 0
GAL
49%
26%
26%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2009 |
TOR
0 - 1
PAD
67%
22%
11%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
PAD
2 - 1
ANC
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2009 |
PAD
0 - 0
PIA
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
MAN
2 - 0
GRO
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
LEC
2 - 1
MAN
61%
24%
16%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2009 |
MAN
1 - 2
ABN
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
SAS
1 - 1
MAN
51%
27%
22%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
MAN
2 - 2
REG
29%
29%
42%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |