Padova vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.6%
32%
Draw
0-0
15.5%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
32%
29.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1969 |
FCC
0 - 1
PAD
53%
28%
19%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1969 |
CAT
2 - 0
PAD
53%
28%
19%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1969 |
PAD
1 - 0
LEC
44%
30%
26%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1969 |
BAR
2 - 0
PAD
68%
21%
11%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1969 |
ASS
5 - 1
PAD
58%
26%
17%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1969 |
BAR
0 - 0
MAN
58%
26%
17%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1969 |
MAN
2 - 0
GEN
44%
31%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1969 |
BRE
0 - 0
MAN
64%
23%
13%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1969 |
MAN
1 - 2
MOD
55%
29%
16%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1969 |
MAN
1 - 0
LEC
53%
29%
18%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |