Padova vs Lumezzane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
10.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
FCS
1 - 0
PAD
23%
26%
50%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2017 |
PAD
2 - 2
ANC
71%
19%
10%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
POR
1 - 0
PAD
42%
27%
32%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2017 |
PAD
0 - 1
VNZ
45%
27%
29%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
PAD
1 - 2
PAR
28%
27%
46%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
ACL
1 - 2
FAN
43%
28%
29%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
MAN
1 - 1
ACL
49%
26%
26%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
ACL
1 - 1
ABN
34%
29%
38%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
ACL
0 - 1
FCS
41%
28%
31%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
SSS
1 - 1
ACL
61%
22%
17%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |