Padova vs Lumezzane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
8.4%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
PAD
2 - 0
PIA
71%
18%
11%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
REG
1 - 1
PAD
34%
27%
39%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2014 |
PAD
2 - 1
AVE
37%
27%
36%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
SIE
2 - 0
PAD
70%
20%
10%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
PAD
2 - 1
PES
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
ACL
0 - 2
REG
27%
28%
45%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
GER
2 - 1
ACL
45%
26%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
ACL
1 - 1
PIA
52%
26%
22%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
REN
0 - 1
ACL
30%
27%
43%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2015 |
ACL
0 - 0
HHA
15%
25%
60%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | 0 |