Padova vs Lumezzane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
15.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
PAD
1 - 0
FER
70%
19%
11%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
RAV
1 - 0
PAD
44%
28%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
PAD
2 - 2
PIZ
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2006 |
SAL
1 - 1
PAD
53%
26%
21%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
PAD
1 - 1
PRO
59%
23%
18%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
ACL
1 - 0
PRO
35%
28%
37%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
PIZ
3 - 0
ACL
51%
26%
23%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
ACL
0 - 1
SSS
45%
27%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
SPE
2 - 1
ACL
52%
28%
21%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
ACL
1 - 1
NOV
45%
26%
29%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |