Padova vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.6%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
20%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1985 |
VAR
1 - 0
PAD
56%
26%
18%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1985 |
PAD
1 - 1
TRI
46%
28%
26%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1985 |
PIS
1 - 0
PAD
62%
25%
14%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1985 |
CAT
1 - 0
PAD
52%
28%
20%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1985 |
PAD
2 - 0
ARZ
54%
26%
19%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1985 |
CES
3 - 1
GEN
49%
29%
22%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1985 |
EMP
0 - 0
CES
49%
29%
22%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1985 |
CES
3 - 0
CAM
55%
28%
17%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1985 |
PES
3 - 0
CES
52%
28%
19%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1985 |
CES
0 - 0
LEC
54%
27%
19%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |