Padova vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
11.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
REG
0 - 0
PAD
38%
27%
36%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
PAD
0 - 2
SPE
51%
25%
25%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
CTT
1 - 1
PAD
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
PAD
1 - 0
TRE
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
PIS
1 - 1
PAD
40%
28%
32%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
ARZ
2 - 2
SPA
45%
28%
27%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
ACL
2 - 0
ARZ
59%
23%
19%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
ARZ
2 - 0
ASL
40%
29%
31%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
ALZ
1 - 1
ARZ
57%
23%
21%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
ARZ
0 - 1
ABN
26%
27%
47%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |