Padova vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
12.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1983 |
PAD
0 - 2
ACM
30%
22%
49%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1983 |
ATL
2 - 0
PAD
41%
24%
35%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
PAD
1 - 1
JUV
27%
27%
46%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1982 |
CAT
2 - 1
PAD
44%
23%
34%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1982 |
PAD
1 - 1
PES
83%
11%
6%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1983 |
ARZ
0 - 1
ROM
3%
16%
81%
|
53 | 85 | 32 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1983 |
ARZ
0 - 0
ACM
15%
18%
67%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1983 |
ARZ
2 - 2
REG
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1983 |
LEC
2 - 1
ARZ
56%
23%
22%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1983 |
ARZ
0 - 0
LAZ
41%
29%
30%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |