Padova vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
17.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1984 |
CAM
0 - 0
PAD
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1984 |
PAD
3 - 0
VAR
56%
25%
19%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1984 |
PAD
1 - 1
CES
46%
28%
26%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1984 |
LEC
0 - 2
PAD
47%
27%
25%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1983 |
SSS
0 - 0
PAD
43%
29%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1984 |
ARZ
3 - 2
CAG
38%
30%
32%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1984 |
COM
2 - 0
ARZ
58%
25%
17%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1984 |
PRG
1 - 1
ARZ
47%
30%
23%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 1983 |
ARZ
1 - 0
CES
38%
30%
32%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1983 |
TRI
1 - 1
ARZ
63%
23%
14%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |