Padova vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
12.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1966 |
VAR
0 - 1
PAD
54%
26%
20%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1966 |
PAD
2 - 2
SAM
35%
29%
35%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1966 |
MES
1 - 1
PAD
41%
30%
29%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
POT
1 - 0
PAD
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1966 |
PAD
2 - 0
REG
60%
24%
16%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1966 |
ARZ
3 - 0
USA
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1966 |
CAT
1 - 0
ARZ
70%
20%
11%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1966 |
PAL
0 - 3
ARZ
58%
25%
18%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
ARZ
1 - 1
LIV
47%
26%
28%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1966 |
ARZ
2 - 0
VER
42%
26%
33%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | +2 |