Lecco vs Virtus Bolzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
10.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-61%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
LEC
1 - 2
PRO
32%
24%
44%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
PON
3 - 0
LEC
64%
20%
17%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
ASS
2 - 0
LEC
76%
16%
8%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
PER
3 - 1
LEC
52%
24%
24%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
LEC
0 - 3
DAR
60%
21%
19%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Virtus Bolzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
VIR
0 - 1
ASS
11%
21%
67%
|
21 | 46 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
PER
0 - 1
VIR
75%
16%
10%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
VIR
0 - 2
DAR
22%
22%
56%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
SER
4 - 2
VIR
75%
15%
10%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 0
DCA
24%
23%
53%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +2 |