Lecco vs Valenzana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
13.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
LEO
1 - 2
LEC
49%
27%
24%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
LEC
1 - 2
VAL
64%
23%
13%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
SAC
1 - 2
LEC
35%
25%
40%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
LEC
1 - 3
FER
52%
25%
23%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
FCC
1 - 0
LEC
31%
27%
42%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Valenzana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 2
FER
24%
27%
48%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
LEC
1 - 2
VAL
64%
23%
13%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
VAL
0 - 2
TRI
18%
27%
56%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
FCC
1 - 3
VAL
57%
25%
19%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 0
ACM
22%
29%
49%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +2 |