Lecco vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
36.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
FER
1 - 0
LEC
61%
23%
16%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
LEC
0 - 0
LEO
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
LEC
0 - 0
PRO
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
SER
1 - 4
LEC
40%
27%
33%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
PIA
0 - 1
LEC
55%
25%
20%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
FCS
1 - 0
TRI
61%
23%
15%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
TRI
0 - 2
PAD
21%
26%
53%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2021 |
SER
0 - 1
TRI
25%
26%
49%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
TRI
2 - 1
GER
60%
24%
16%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
LEO
1 - 2
TRI
31%
28%
41%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |