Lecco vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
38.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
LEC
1 - 2
CES
30%
28%
42%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
SPA
2 - 2
LEC
58%
23%
20%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
LEC
2 - 2
ABN
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
ACL
3 - 3
LEC
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
MOD
2 - 0
LEC
65%
21%
14%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
TRI
3 - 2
ARZ
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
ABN
1 - 1
TRI
34%
28%
38%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2001 |
TRI
1 - 0
ALV
70%
18%
12%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
REG
1 - 1
TRI
34%
30%
36%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1993 |
TRI
0 - 4
USF
21%
22%
57%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | -1 |