Lecco vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
52%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1958 |
NOV
4 - 2
LEC
65%
19%
15%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1958 |
LEC
2 - 1
PAL
46%
24%
30%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1958 |
LEC
1 - 0
MES
58%
22%
20%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1958 |
COM
1 - 1
LEC
67%
19%
14%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1958 |
LEC
1 - 0
CAG
52%
23%
25%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1958 |
TRI
2 - 0
MOD
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1958 |
ACM
2 - 0
TRI
40%
25%
35%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1958 |
ACP
3 - 0
TRI
36%
25%
40%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1958 |
TRI
2 - 0
SSS
77%
15%
8%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1958 |
TRI
4 - 1
CAT
57%
23%
19%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |