Lecco vs Cremonese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.1%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
38.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
CES
0 - 0
LEC
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
LEC
0 - 0
NOV
33%
29%
38%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
VNZ
1 - 1
LEC
54%
25%
21%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
LEC
1 - 1
UNI
34%
30%
36%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
PRO
1 - 0
LEC
46%
28%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
USC
0 - 2
POR
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
USC
3 - 1
VER
59%
24%
17%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
SPA
0 - 0
USC
34%
28%
37%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
USC
1 - 1
VNZ
56%
25%
19%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
PRO
0 - 0
USC
35%
28%
37%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |