Lecco vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
21.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
LEC
0 - 2
CAS
49%
22%
30%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
LEC
1 - 0
COM
46%
22%
32%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1940 |
LEC
2 - 1
CAN
88%
8%
4%
|
53 | 6 | 47 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1957 |
PAR
4 - 0
SSS
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1957 |
SSS
2 - 1
MES
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 1957 |
SSS
4 - 0
ASS
47%
24%
28%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +2 |
| 19 May. 1957 |
TAR
0 - 1
SSS
62%
20%
18%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1957 |
SSS
0 - 2
MOD
57%
23%
20%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |