Lecco vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
28.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
ABN
2 - 2
LEC
38%
27%
35%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
LEC
1 - 1
ACL
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
TRE
1 - 0
LEC
62%
22%
17%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
LEC
2 - 1
PIS
51%
25%
23%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
ASS
0 - 5
LEC
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
SPA
1 - 0
CAR
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
PAD
0 - 0
SPA
49%
27%
24%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
ARZ
1 - 2
SPA
45%
27%
28%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
SPA
1 - 1
ACL
54%
24%
23%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
ALV
0 - 1
SPA
39%
27%
34%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |