Lecco vs Seregno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
17.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
FIO
0 - 3
LEC
29%
26%
45%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
LEC
2 - 1
PRO
55%
23%
22%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
BUS
1 - 0
LEC
16%
19%
65%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
LEC
2 - 2
PON
54%
23%
23%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
OLG
1 - 4
LEC
38%
26%
36%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Seregno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
MAP
1 - 0
SER
37%
25%
38%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
SER
1 - 1
GRU
34%
23%
43%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
FIO
0 - 1
SER
38%
25%
37%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
SER
1 - 2
PRO
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
BUS
0 - 2
SER
22%
21%
58%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |