Lecco vs San Marino Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
65.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.6%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
ACM
2 - 1
LEC
63%
22%
15%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
LEC
2 - 1
ACS
42%
26%
32%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
BOR
1 - 0
LEC
69%
20%
11%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
ACG
1 - 2
LEC
67%
20%
13%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
USP
1 - 0
LEC
68%
20%
12%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
San Marino Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 0
RIM
42%
26%
33%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
USA
0 - 0
SAN
55%
24%
21%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
CUN
60%
21%
19%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 1
SAV
61%
21%
17%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
4 - 1
REN
57%
23%
20%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |