Lecco vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
39.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
ACD
2 - 1
LEC
42%
26%
32%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
LEC
0 - 0
VAL
64%
23%
13%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
LEO
1 - 2
LEC
49%
27%
24%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
LEC
1 - 2
VAL
64%
23%
13%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
SAC
1 - 2
LEC
35%
25%
40%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
REN
0 - 0
PRO
44%
26%
30%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
PRO
0 - 3
SAN
62%
21%
16%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -3 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
ACL
4 - 1
PRO
65%
21%
14%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
PRO
4 - 0
ACM
87%
10%
3%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
ACM
2 - 1
PRO
26%
27%
47%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |