Lecco vs Pergolettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
REN
2 - 3
LEC
43%
28%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
LEC
1 - 0
GER
67%
20%
14%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
LEC
2 - 0
MAN
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
PAD
2 - 1
LEC
65%
23%
12%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
LEC
3 - 1
FIO
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Pergolettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
PER
0 - 1
FIO
52%
25%
23%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
PRO
2 - 1
PER
40%
26%
34%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
ABN
1 - 1
PER
55%
25%
21%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
PER
1 - 1
LEG
55%
24%
21%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
PIA
3 - 0
PER
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |