Lecco vs Pergolettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.9%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.6%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
6.6%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
PSM
2 - 4
LEC
26%
25%
49%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
LEC
2 - 1
PIA
32%
25%
44%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
FOL
0 - 0
LEC
17%
22%
61%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
LEC
3 - 0
CIS
76%
14%
10%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
VBE
0 - 3
LEC
20%
20%
60%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Pergolettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
PER
0 - 1
VBE
41%
24%
36%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 0
PER
29%
28%
43%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
PER
0 - 2
MAP
57%
24%
19%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SER
2 - 1
PER
61%
22%
17%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
PER
0 - 0
FIO
58%
24%
18%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |