Lecco vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
12%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1964 |
LEC
2 - 0
CAG
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1964 |
FCC
2 - 1
LEC
49%
27%
24%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 1963 |
COS
0 - 0
LEC
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1963 |
LEC
2 - 0
ASS
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1963 |
VAR
0 - 0
LEC
59%
22%
19%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1964 |
PAR
0 - 1
PAL
42%
30%
28%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1964 |
PAR
1 - 0
CAG
43%
29%
28%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1963 |
ACP
1 - 1
PAR
60%
22%
18%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1963 |
PAR
1 - 1
PAD
36%
30%
34%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1963 |
ASS
1 - 1
PAR
68%
20%
12%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |