Lecco vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
13%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1963 |
PRO
1 - 0
LEC
45%
28%
28%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1963 |
VER
1 - 3
LEC
52%
24%
24%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1963 |
LEC
0 - 0
TRI
60%
23%
18%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1963 |
LEC
1 - 0
COS
66%
20%
14%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1963 |
COM
1 - 3
LEC
47%
27%
27%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1963 |
PAR
1 - 0
SSS
50%
27%
23%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1963 |
PAR
0 - 0
PRO
46%
28%
26%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1963 |
USF
3 - 0
PAR
63%
22%
15%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1963 |
PAR
2 - 0
ASS
48%
28%
24%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1963 |
COS
1 - 2
PAR
56%
25%
19%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |