Lecco vs Olginatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
14.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
SON
2 - 4
LEC
17%
20%
63%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
LEC
3 - 3
ASS
47%
26%
28%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
VAR
1 - 2
LEC
38%
23%
39%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
PER
1 - 1
LEC
29%
26%
45%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
LEC
3 - 1
PSM
70%
17%
13%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Olginatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
OLG
2 - 1
VBE
57%
22%
22%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
SER
3 - 1
OLG
61%
21%
18%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
OLG
2 - 0
CAR
56%
24%
20%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
OLG
2 - 1
PRO
50%
25%
25%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
MAP
2 - 5
OLG
34%
26%
40%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |