Lecco vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.4%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
32.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
ASS
2 - 1
LEC
59%
24%
17%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
VNZ
4 - 0
LEC
58%
25%
17%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
LEC
2 - 1
USF
30%
30%
40%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
PAG
1 - 0
LEC
45%
26%
28%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
LEC
3 - 2
FOL
34%
29%
37%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
NOV
2 - 2
CTT
29%
28%
43%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
TER
3 - 0
NOV
39%
29%
32%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
NOV
1 - 2
FOL
46%
27%
27%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
PAD
5 - 0
NOV
58%
24%
18%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
NOV
3 - 3
PRO
45%
28%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |