Lecco vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.4%
32%
Draw
0-0
15.3%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
32%
32.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1973 |
ASS
0 - 0
LEC
61%
26%
13%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1973 |
LEC
0 - 2
USF
31%
33%
35%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1973 |
REG
1 - 0
LEC
69%
21%
10%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1973 |
LEC
1 - 2
BRI
44%
28%
28%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1973 |
FCC
1 - 1
LEC
67%
23%
10%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1973 |
NOV
1 - 0
BAR
58%
27%
16%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1973 |
BRE
2 - 0
NOV
51%
28%
21%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1973 |
NOV
1 - 0
REG
65%
23%
12%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1973 |
ARZ
1 - 1
NOV
45%
31%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1973 |
NOV
1 - 2
GEN
51%
29%
20%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |