Lecco vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
14.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1967 |
VER
1 - 0
LEC
47%
26%
28%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1967 |
LEC
1 - 2
ACM
32%
27%
41%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | -1 |
| 28 May. 1967 |
ACM
1 - 1
LEC
79%
14%
6%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | +1 |
| 21 May. 1967 |
LEC
0 - 3
NAP
31%
30%
39%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1967 |
LEC
2 - 1
VNZ
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1967 |
ASS
4 - 2
NOV
56%
22%
22%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1967 |
NOV
3 - 1
GEN
40%
30%
30%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 1967 |
NOV
1 - 1
POT
46%
28%
26%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1967 |
PAL
2 - 0
NOV
50%
28%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 May. 1967 |
NOV
1 - 0
ARZ
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |