Lecco vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
40%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2000 |
VAR
1 - 0
LEC
58%
24%
19%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
LEC
1 - 0
ARZ
41%
28%
32%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
SPA
1 - 0
LEC
55%
24%
22%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2000 |
BRE
1 - 1
LEC
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2000 |
LEC
0 - 0
ABN
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2000 |
MOD
1 - 0
BRE
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
USA
0 - 1
MOD
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
MOD
0 - 1
PIS
41%
30%
28%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2000 |
ABN
0 - 0
MOD
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2000 |
MOD
1 - 1
CAR
62%
23%
15%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |