Lecco vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
16.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 1965 |
FOR
2 - 2
LEC
38%
30%
32%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1965 |
LEC
3 - 1
PRO
67%
20%
13%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1965 |
LEC
4 - 1
PAD
57%
25%
19%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1965 |
PAR
0 - 0
LEC
38%
31%
31%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1965 |
LEC
3 - 0
NAP
53%
26%
21%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 1965 |
VNZ
0 - 0
MOD
48%
28%
25%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1965 |
MOD
0 - 2
SPA
46%
28%
26%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 May. 1965 |
MOD
0 - 0
BAR
61%
24%
15%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1965 |
FCC
1 - 1
MOD
41%
30%
29%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1965 |
POT
1 - 1
MOD
52%
24%
23%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |