Lecco vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
28.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1958 |
ASS
3 - 0
LEC
68%
19%
14%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1958 |
ACP
3 - 0
LEC
59%
21%
20%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1958 |
LEC
1 - 1
PAR
58%
22%
20%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1958 |
LEC
1 - 1
ACM
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1958 |
TAR
1 - 1
LEC
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1958 |
MOD
1 - 2
PAL
57%
23%
21%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1958 |
TAR
3 - 2
MOD
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1958 |
MOD
2 - 1
MES
68%
19%
12%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1958 |
PAR
2 - 2
MOD
44%
28%
28%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1958 |
MOD
2 - 2
ACP
65%
20%
16%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |