Lecco vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
19.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1958 |
COM
1 - 1
LEC
67%
19%
14%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1958 |
LEC
1 - 0
CAG
52%
23%
25%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 1958 |
SSS
2 - 1
LEC
61%
21%
18%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1958 |
LEC
0 - 4
BRE
45%
25%
30%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1958 |
VNZ
2 - 0
LEC
69%
18%
13%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1958 |
CAG
5 - 0
MES
58%
24%
19%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1958 |
MES
1 - 0
ACP
51%
25%
25%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 1958 |
MES
0 - 1
ACM
47%
28%
25%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1958 |
COM
2 - 0
MES
66%
20%
13%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1958 |
BRE
3 - 1
MES
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |