Lecco vs MapelloBonate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.4%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
5.3%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SER
3 - 3
LEC
38%
25%
37%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
LEC
1 - 1
FIO
75%
16%
9%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
PRO
1 - 2
LEC
15%
22%
64%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
LEC
3 - 2
BUS
77%
14%
9%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
PON
1 - 3
LEC
35%
25%
41%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
MapelloBonate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
MAP
1 - 2
VBE
42%
23%
35%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
SER
2 - 0
MAP
77%
15%
8%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
MAP
0 - 0
CAR
47%
25%
28%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
MAP
1 - 1
PRO
45%
25%
30%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
GRU
2 - 0
MAP
72%
16%
11%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |