Lecco vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
14.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1962 |
BAR
1 - 1
LEC
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1962 |
MES
2 - 0
LEC
51%
25%
25%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1962 |
LEC
2 - 0
BRE
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1962 |
LAZ
0 - 0
LEC
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1962 |
LEC
2 - 1
USA
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1962 |
ASL
1 - 0
CAG
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1962 |
PAD
1 - 3
ASL
71%
17%
12%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1962 |
ASL
1 - 3
LAZ
48%
27%
25%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1962 |
SSS
1 - 0
ASL
49%
27%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1962 |
ASL
0 - 0
ASS
57%
25%
18%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |