Lecco vs Grumellese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
18.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
ROM
0 - 1
LEC
10%
15%
75%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
LEC
2 - 1
REZ
30%
25%
45%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
DAR
2 - 1
LEC
55%
23%
23%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
LEC
1 - 1
PSM
38%
25%
37%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
LEV
0 - 2
LEC
46%
22%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Grumellese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
GRU
1 - 0
DAR
21%
24%
55%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2017 |
GRU
3 - 1
FOL
23%
25%
52%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | +3 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
PSM
2 - 1
GRU
78%
14%
8%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
GRU
0 - 2
LEV
35%
24%
41%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
TRE
3 - 2
GRU
22%
23%
55%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | -1 |