Lecco vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
+2
8.5%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
22%
33.8%
Draw
0-0
17.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
0
33.8%
32.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1972 |
CES
3 - 0
LEC
68%
22%
10%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1972 |
ASC
3 - 0
LEC
71%
19%
10%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1972 |
LEC
1 - 1
TAR
46%
31%
23%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1972 |
BRE
1 - 1
LEC
70%
21%
9%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1972 |
LEC
0 - 1
BAR
40%
33%
27%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1972 |
FCC
3 - 0
VAR
47%
30%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1972 |
NOV
1 - 0
FCC
46%
30%
24%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1972 |
FCC
1 - 0
REG
52%
29%
19%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1972 |
BAR
3 - 1
FCC
50%
29%
21%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1972 |
FCC
3 - 1
ASC
53%
26%
21%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |