Lecco vs Ciserano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
9.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
VBE
0 - 3
LEC
20%
20%
60%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
LEC
3 - 1
INV
63%
20%
17%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
LEC
1 - 0
CAR
82%
13%
5%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
GRU
1 - 1
LEC
35%
25%
40%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
LEC
2 - 2
MAP
82%
12%
5%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Ciserano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CIS
1 - 1
MAP
61%
20%
19%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SER
0 - 1
CIS
69%
17%
14%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CIS
0 - 0
FIO
56%
22%
23%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
PRO
5 - 1
CIS
29%
24%
47%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -3 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CIS
1 - 1
BUS
65%
19%
16%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |