Lecco vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
29%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1957 |
MOD
0 - 0
LEC
65%
20%
15%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1957 |
LEC
1 - 0
ASS
45%
25%
30%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1957 |
LEC
1 - 0
ACP
57%
20%
23%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 1957 |
LEC
2 - 0
TAR
48%
24%
28%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1957 |
PAR
1 - 1
LEC
60%
20%
19%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1957 |
CAT
2 - 0
CAG
64%
21%
16%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1957 |
CAT
2 - 2
PAR
69%
19%
13%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1957 |
BRE
1 - 0
CAT
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1957 |
ASS
2 - 0
CAT
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1957 |
CAT
2 - 0
BAR
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |