Lecco vs Casale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
58.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
PRO
3 - 0
LEC
86%
11%
4%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
LEC
0 - 3
ACD
35%
28%
38%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
VAL
3 - 0
LEC
34%
27%
38%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
USA
0 - 1
LEC
84%
12%
4%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
LEC
1 - 4
SAV
33%
27%
40%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CAS
1 - 3
VIN
67%
21%
12%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
CAS
2 - 0
ACS
66%
21%
13%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 1
CAS
44%
25%
31%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
CAS
3 - 0
SAN
44%
27%
28%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
VAL
0 - 3
CAS
18%
25%
58%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | +1 |