Lecco vs Carrarese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
24.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
REG
1 - 2
LEC
67%
21%
13%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
LEC
0 - 0
SAN
60%
22%
18%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2000 |
BRE
2 - 3
LEC
50%
25%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1999 |
LEC
0 - 0
MOD
35%
27%
38%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
VAR
2 - 0
LEC
60%
23%
17%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
SAN
0 - 0
CAR
33%
26%
41%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
CAR
0 - 0
LIV
27%
25%
48%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2000 |
MOD
0 - 3
CAR
61%
23%
16%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +2 |
| 23 Dec. 1999 |
CAR
3 - 1
BRE
39%
26%
36%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
COM
1 - 0
CAR
62%
22%
16%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |