Lecco vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.3%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
47.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.1%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
PRO
0 - 0
LEC
48%
27%
25%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
LEC
0 - 1
SSS
38%
29%
33%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
ACL
1 - 0
LEC
42%
28%
30%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
LEC
1 - 2
REG
37%
29%
34%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
PER
1 - 2
LEC
48%
28%
25%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
PAD
0 - 0
PER
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
ASS
1 - 0
PAD
36%
28%
37%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
PAD
1 - 1
PIS
75%
17%
9%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
PAD
3 - 2
USC
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
RAV
1 - 2
PAD
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |