Lecco vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
24.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1958 |
SSS
2 - 1
LEC
61%
21%
18%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1958 |
LEC
0 - 4
BRE
45%
25%
30%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1958 |
VNZ
2 - 0
LEC
69%
18%
13%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1958 |
LEC
1 - 1
CAT
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1957 |
MOD
0 - 0
LEC
65%
20%
15%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1958 |
NOV
1 - 0
CAG
66%
20%
15%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1958 |
ASS
1 - 0
CAG
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1958 |
CAG
1 - 3
TRI
33%
26%
41%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1958 |
CAG
2 - 0
ACM
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 1957 |
CAT
2 - 0
CAG
64%
21%
16%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |