Lecco vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.2%
+2
11.3%
1-0
17.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
<0%
+1
25.1%
33.2%
Draw
0-0
17.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
0
33.2%
25.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1973 |
BAR
0 - 0
LEC
68%
22%
10%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1973 |
LEC
0 - 0
ARZ
40%
32%
28%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1973 |
LEC
0 - 0
GEN
37%
33%
30%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1973 |
REG
1 - 0
LEC
53%
29%
18%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1973 |
LEC
2 - 1
COM
35%
33%
32%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1973 |
BRE
1 - 0
CAT
52%
29%
19%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1973 |
CES
1 - 1
BRE
64%
24%
12%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1973 |
BRE
1 - 2
MAN
56%
28%
16%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1973 |
VAR
1 - 0
BRE
59%
27%
14%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1973 |
BRE
1 - 0
BAR
53%
29%
18%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |