Lecco vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
30.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1958 |
VNZ
2 - 0
LEC
69%
18%
13%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1958 |
LEC
1 - 1
CAT
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1957 |
MOD
0 - 0
LEC
65%
20%
15%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1957 |
LEC
1 - 0
ASS
45%
25%
30%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1957 |
LEC
1 - 0
ACP
57%
20%
23%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1958 |
BRE
3 - 1
MES
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1958 |
NOV
1 - 1
BRE
50%
24%
25%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1957 |
ACM
4 - 1
BRE
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1957 |
BRE
3 - 0
PAL
50%
24%
25%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1957 |
BRE
1 - 0
CAT
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |