Lecco vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
45.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1973 |
TAR
1 - 0
LEC
56%
28%
16%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1973 |
LEC
1 - 1
BRE
41%
33%
26%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1973 |
BAR
0 - 0
LEC
68%
22%
10%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1973 |
LEC
0 - 0
ARZ
40%
32%
28%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1973 |
LEC
0 - 0
GEN
37%
33%
30%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1973 |
ASC
1 - 0
CES
55%
26%
19%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1973 |
CAT
0 - 1
ASC
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1973 |
ASC
0 - 0
FCC
51%
27%
22%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1973 |
VAR
2 - 0
ASC
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1973 |
ASC
2 - 0
COM
54%
24%
21%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |