Lecco vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
35.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
ASL
0 - 0
LEC
62%
22%
15%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
LEC
2 - 0
SIE
23%
28%
49%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
USC
1 - 0
LEC
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
LEC
0 - 0
PIS
26%
29%
45%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
COM
1 - 0
LEC
57%
24%
18%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
SPA
2 - 1
VAR
45%
28%
28%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
ABN
1 - 1
VAR
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
VAR
2 - 0
CAR
61%
23%
16%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
CTT
2 - 0
VAR
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
VAR
3 - 1
ACL
65%
22%
14%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |