Lecco vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
25.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 1965 |
LEC
0 - 0
MOD
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1965 |
FOR
2 - 2
LEC
38%
30%
32%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 1965 |
LEC
3 - 1
PRO
67%
20%
13%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1965 |
LEC
4 - 1
PAD
57%
25%
19%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1965 |
PAR
0 - 0
LEC
38%
31%
31%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1965 |
MAN
3 - 1
VAR
42%
28%
30%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1965 |
VAR
1 - 1
JUV
30%
25%
45%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1965 |
ACM
1 - 0
VAR
81%
12%
7%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1965 |
VAR
0 - 0
BOL
34%
26%
41%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1965 |
GEN
0 - 1
VAR
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |