Serie C Playoffs Ascenso Last 16
Global 3-3
Lecco vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
28.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2023 |
ANC
2 - 2
LEC
44%
25%
31%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
LEC
0 - 0
LEO
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
PAD
3 - 1
LEC
46%
28%
26%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
LEC
2 - 1
PRO
60%
24%
16%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2023 |
REN
0 - 2
LEC
36%
27%
37%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2023 |
ANC
2 - 2
LEC
44%
25%
31%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 1
ANC
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2023 |
ANC
1 - 1
ASL
59%
24%
17%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
REC
4 - 0
ANC
36%
25%
39%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
ANC
3 - 0
RIM
63%
22%
15%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |