Lecco vs Alzano Virescit analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
25.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
ASL
1 - 0
LEC
61%
23%
17%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
LEC
1 - 1
TRI
33%
28%
39%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
LEC
1 - 2
CES
30%
28%
42%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
SPA
2 - 2
LEC
58%
23%
20%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
LEC
2 - 2
ABN
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Alzano Virescit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
ALV
2 - 1
VAR
39%
28%
33%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
ALV
0 - 1
ASS
40%
26%
35%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
REG
1 - 1
ALV
49%
26%
25%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
ALV
1 - 1
SPE
31%
27%
42%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2001 |
TRI
1 - 0
ALV
70%
18%
12%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |